The Miami Heat dominated their matchups with the Atlanta Hawks in the regular season and last postseason.
Miami beat the Hawks, 4-1, in the first round of the 2022 playoffs and it beat Atlanta three times in four regular-season meetings.
Jimmy Butler has had plenty of recent success against the Hawks, and there are a few ways to target him on the player prop markets at DraftKings Sportsbook.
I believe the Heat will win the matchup in south Florida, and that's why Butler and Tyler Herro are my targets for the play-in round opener.
Jimmy Butler Over 0.5 Threes (-145)
This is one of the props you only bet in the postseason.
Butler averaged 0.6 three-point makes on 1.6 three-point attempts in the regular season, but he shoots more from beyond the arc once the playoffs begin.
The Heat superstar made one three-pointer in every game of the first two rounds last postseason, including four contests against the Hawks. This prop also went 4-for-7 in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Butler went 2-for-2 from three-point range in three regular season meetings with the Hawks, and the biggest key to this prop is the Hawks owning the worst points against per game total of the 10 remaining teams in the East.
Miami will score in many different ways against the Hawks, and do not be surprised if Butler takes a few three-point shots to get away from the Hawks' inside threat led by Clint Capela.
Jimmy Butler Over 13.5 Rebounds/Assists (-110)
Butler produced 37 rebounds and assists in his last two games against the Hawks.
He had 11 rebounds and seven assists on March 4 and then 10 boards and nine handouts two days later.
Butler had at least 10 rebounds and assists in his four playoff games versus Atlanta last year. He had 10 rebounds in Games 3 and 4.
Atlanta's fast pace suits this prop because Butler will bring down some boards and assist on plenty of made baskets as well. The only way this prop is in serious danger of hitting is if a blowout takes place.
Tyler Herro Leading Points Scorer (+700)
Herro does not have the same recent success rate as Butler does against the Hawks, but I think he can be the game's leading scorer based on the script I project.
Herro hit the 20-point mark once in four games against Atlanta this season, but he played over 30 minutes and attempted at least 13 field goals in every one of those contests.
The shot volume is there with Herro, and I think the Hawks defense will at least try to limit Butler and Bam Adebayo, which will lead to more scoring opportunities for Herro.