Rudy Gobert has a significant edge over a lot of NBA centers, but one in particular, has had a hard time guarding him of late.
Gobert owns a strong recent record against Jusuf Nurkic, including a 24-point, nine-rebound showing on Saturday in Portland.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Portland Trail Blazers are back at it again on Monday night and we could see a similar scoring output from Gobert.
There are a few other matchups to watch as well in which stars can put up eye-popping stat lines.
NBA 3-Point Play
Rudy Gobert Over 16.5 points (-110)
Rudy Gobert scored 24 points against Portland on Saturday.
That was a continuation of the strong totals put up against Jusuf Nurkic recently.
Gobert averages 14.8 points and 12.4 rebounds against Nurkic in 21 matchups in his career. The numbers over the last five meetings are eye-popping.
December 23, 2020: 20 points, 17 rebounds
April 8, 2021: 18 points, 20 rebounds
May 12, 2021: 15 points, 20 rebounds
November 29, 2021: 21 points, 16 rebounds
December 10, 2022: 24 points, 9 rebounds
Portland gives up the second-most points per game to opposing centers. Gobert is the main man in the middle with Karl-Anthony Towns out.
Gobert has 17 or more points in five of his last nine games. He put 22 and 24 in his last two games.
Jarrett Allen Over 14.5 points (-125)
Jarrett Allen has the potential to clean up under the rim on Monday in San Antonio.
The Spurs are still without Jakob Poeltl and they give up the third-most points per game to opposing centers.
Allen hit the 20-point mark in three of his last five games. All of those performances came against team that rank in the bottom 11 of opposing PPG to centers.
Allen reached the 15-point mark in seven of his last 14 games. He should add to that total against a Spurs team without a massive paint presence.
Buddy Hield Over 17.5 points (-125)
Buddy Hield Over 3.5 Threes (-120)
The Miami Heat have struggled with defending the shooting guard position.
Alec Burks, Paul George, Devin Vassell and Romeo Langford all had big games against the Heat in the last week.
Indiana hurt Miami in its first meeting with the combination of Buddy Hield and Bennedict Mathurin.
Hield had 25 points and five three-point makes, while Mathurin had 23 points with a trio of threes.
Hield has had at least 17 points and four threes in his last five games.
That’s why he gets the edge over Mathurin in my mind when it comes to attacking Miami’s weakness.
I’m riding with both of Hield’s props because he will most likely do his damage from deep against the Heat.