Soccer Selections: Expect Liverpool To Wake Up Against Bournemouth

Liverpool is in need of a season-reviving win.

No one expected to be saying that about Jurgen Klopp's men a few weeks into the English Premier League season, but here we are.

Liverpool reside in 16th place after draws with Fulham and Crystal Palace and a disappointing loss to Manchester United, who used Monday's result as its own season reviver.

The good news for Liverpool is it can finally get its season on track on Saturday morning against Bournemouth.

Bournemouth is at the end of a brutal three-game stretch that already featured a 4-0 loss to Manchester City and a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Arsenal.

The situations of Liverpool and Bournemouth should concoct a perfect formula for Liverpool to regain form and do it in an emphatic fashion.

Soccer Selections

Season Record: 8-14 (5-4 Last Week)

EPL: Liverpool vs. Bournemouth (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET)

Liverpool -2.5 (-125) & Team Total Over 2.5 Goals (-190)

Liverpool's road to success on Saturday is built upon Bournemouth's failures over the last two weeks.

The Cherries conceded seven goals and scored none against Manchester City and Arsenal. The team's combined expected goals (xG) total was 0.4 in those two matches.

Liverpool needs to turn in a similar performance as Manchester City and Arsenal against Bournemouth to correct its early-season struggles.

Jurgen Klopp's side is still dealing with some absences, but it does have Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz and Roberto Firmino available for selection.

Liverpool has the quality within its side to take advantage of Bournemouth's lack of quality in the back line and explode for multiple goals.

At its best, Liverpool can match the totals produced by Manchester City and Arsenal, and if Bournemouth's offense is not creating much, it is easy to see a win by three, four or maybe even more goals.

EPL: Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET)

Crystal Palace +2.5 (-175)

Manchester City should beat Crystal Palace inside the Etihad Stadium, but the final score may be closer than you think.

Crystal Palace held Manchester City to two or fewer goals in five of their last six head-to-head meetings. The lone exception was a 4-0 City victory in 2021.

Palace put in two tough performances to open the season against Arsenal and Liverpool. The Eagles held Arsenal to two goals and took a point out a sputtering Liverpool side at Selhurst Park.

Manchester City has seven points from three games, but it has a 2-0 win over West Ham United and a 3-3 draw with Newcastle United on its schedule.

Patrick Vieira will have Crystal Palace's defense organized well and the squad will be tough to break down for at least a half.

Palace has experience dealing with the cutting passes of Kevin De Bruyne and that will be the key to keep Erling Haaland from bagging multiple goals.

Again, Man City is the pick to win the game, but Palace has a chance to make the match really difficult and limit City's significant chances in front of net.

EPL: Arsenal vs. Fulham (Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Arsenal -1.5 (-125)

I hate how much I like this year's Arsenal team.

The Gunners have been one of the most exciting teams to watch in England's top flight and they have three victories by two or more goals.

All three of Arsenal's expected goals against (xGA) totals have been under one, even when Leicester City scored twice two weeks ago.

On the other hand, Fulham has two xGA totals of 1.5 or higher from matches with Liverpool and Brentford. That is not a promising sign when taking on Gabriel Jesus and Co.

I'm willing to back the trends that suggest Arsenal will score multiple goals again and create plenty of chances against the Fulham defense at the Emirates instead of siding with an underdog against the early league leader.

Bundesliga: Freiburg vs. Bochum (Friday, 2:30 p.m. ET)

Freiburg -1.5 (+130)

Freiburg quietly got off to a strong start in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg piled up four goals on Augsburg, played a decent match in a loss to Dortmund and then beat Stuttgart with a single goal last week.

Freiburg could earn a third clean sheet on Friday afternoon against a Bochum side that scored three times and conceded on 12 occasions.

Bochum's back line has been battered by Mainz, Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich and it could face a similar fate against an underrated attack led by Michael Gregoritsch and Vincenzo Grifo.

The key stat here is that Bochum's xGA is a stunning 7.0, which is the worst xGA in all of Europe's big five leagues.

Bundesliga: Mainz (+165) vs. Bayer Leverkusen (Saturday, 9:30 a.m. ET)

It's finally time to fade Leverkusen.

Of course, this plan could always fall flat after three weeks of backing Leverkusen and losing.

Mainz is a tough squad to break a losing run against, especially at home. Mainz held Union Berlin scoreless in its home opener and it went 10-5-2 with 11 goals against at home last season.

Additionally, Mainz has the best xGA in the Bundesliga at 1.4. Leverkusen has the fourth-best xG at 4.8, but it has one goal to show for it.

Leverkusen will break its poor form eventually, but it will not happen on the road at Mainz.

La Liga: Real Betis (-135) vs. Osasuna (Friday, 4 p.m. ET)

Real Betis won its last five games against Osasuna.

That's a great starting point for a money line bet.

Osasuna scored two goals during Betis' winning run against it and more of the same could happen on Friday.

Betis owns the second-best xGA in La Liga and it is one of seven clubs to concede one or zero goals. Osasuna fits the latter category too, but it is worth noting those results came from two home games, one against a relegation contender in Cadiz.

Serie A: Fiorentina vs. Napoli (+110) (Sunday. 2:45 p.m. ET)

Napoli produced the most electric attack in Serie A over the first two match days.

Victor Osimhen gets the shine up top, but the addition of Khvicha Kvaratskheila provided a massive boost to the team's play in the final third as well.

Napoli put up five goals on Hellas Verona and four on Monza to start the season and could do more damage against Fiorentina.

Napoli is second to Roma in expected goals (xG) at 5.0 and it is close to both Milan clubs and Roma in the race for the early top xGA in Serie A at 1.4.

Fiorentina started the season with a nice win over Cremonese, but it failed to score against Empoli last week and its attack could have trouble with Napoli's back line.

Napoli's attack enters in the better early-season form and I have concerns about what the Viola will create against the Napoli back line, so I'll take the hot hand on the road.

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