I think I've fallen in love with Cincinnati Reds player props when they play at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati scored at least four runs in its last six home games and it has reached that total in all but four of its home contests this season.
The Reds tagged the Arizona Diamondbacks for seven runs on Monday night before the heavens unloaded on Cincinnati. A similar result could come to fruition on Tuesday against a worse starter for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona is sending left-handed Tyler Gilbert to the mound. Gilbert gave up six earned runs on seven hits and four home runs in his last start on May 17 against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Reds are not the Dodgers, but they feel like it on some nights at home because of how well they hit the ball, so that is where Tuesday's MLB player prop piece begins.
Tuesday MLB Player Props
Kyle Farmer Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Kyle Farmer went 2-for-3 with a single and a double on Monday night against Arizona.
The Reds shortstop recorded multiple total bases in five of his last eight games inside Great American Ball Park and Tuesday's matchup suits him perfectly.
Farmer owns a 1.242 OPS against left-handed pitchers. All five of his home runs and five of his 12 doubles have come against southpaws.
Farmer's success against lefties and Gilbert's subpar numbers make him an ideal target for a total bases prop at plus money.
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Tyler Stephenson has seven hits and nine total bases in his last three games, all of which were inside GABP.
Stephenson has a double in each of his last two games and he has been a much better hitter at home than on the road.
The catcher owns a .990 OPS and .385 batting average at home. Seven of his 25 hits inside GABP have been doubles.
I'm more than willing to bank on Stephenson's hot run at the plate at plus money against Gilbert, who may not last past the third or fourth inning if the Reds clean up at home.
Brandon Crawford Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Brandon Crawford and the San Francisco Giants should feast at home on Tuesday night against Colorado's German Marquez.
Marquez ranks third in hits allowed in the majors this season and he is going up against a lineup that is more than familiar with his pitching style.
Crawford owns a .344 career batting average over 32 at-bats against the Colorado right-hander, and the shortstop is coming off nine total bases in the final two games of a road trip that ended in Miami.
Mike Yastrzemski Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Mike Yastrzemski also holds a career batting average over .300 against Marquez.
The Giants outfielder recorded that number in fewer at-bats than Crawford. Yastrzemski is hitting .308 with a home run and three RBI in 13 at-bats versus Marquez.
I'm willing to trust the small sample size because all of those at-bats have come in the last three years and nothing crazy has changed about Marquez's pitching style in that span.
Yastrzemski is also a better choice than others in the Giants order since he typically bats leadoff or second and will get an extra at-bat or two than others if the Giants flip the order.