Hunter Greene makes his first start for the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday since he gave up zero hits against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The gem twirled by Greene was more of an exception to his early Major League Baseball career. He was susceptible to conceding home runs and giving up free bases.
The best way to approach Greene right now is to assume he will go back to the ways of his early starts, especially with an upgrade in opponent from the Pirates to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto has a handful of hitters at the top of its lineup that carry plus-money total bases props for Saturday afternoon's clash against Greene and the Reds, starting with leadoff man George Springer.
MLB Player Props
Overall Record: 7-4 (3-1 Friday)
George Springer Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)
George Springer comes into Saturday on a four-game hitting streak at the top of the Blue Jays order.
Springer has six total bases during that four-game span. All of those games came at home against the Reds and Seattle Mariners.
Springer is one of the many power bats in the Toronto lineup that could take advantage of Greene's susceptibility to dingers.
Greene conceded 11 home runs and 32 hits over his first six starts before he was superb in Pittsburgh last Sunday.
The upgrade in opponent should come with more hits, and potentially more home runs, inside the dome in Ontario.
Connor Joe Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Doubleheader Game 1
The New York Mets will get most of the attention in their series with the Colorado Rockies, but there is more value in the home side at Coors Field.
Connor Joe and Co. face Carlos Carrasco in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader. Friday's game was snowed out in Denver.
Joe has a .288 batting average with 17 total bases in May and his OPS is 60 points higher inside Coors Field than away from it.
Carrasco got off to a decent start, but he has struggled over his last three appearances. He conceded 21 hits over 19 innings in three May starts.
Look for Joe and the Rockies hitters to jump on him early in order to help the National League West side avoid an onslaught from Pete Alonso and the Mets power bats.
Trevor Story Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Let's go back to the hot hand in the Boston order.
Trevor Story hit two home runs on Thursday and followed that up with a grand slam on Friday night inside Fenway Park.
Story gets a favorable matchup on Saturday against Seattle's Chris Flexen, who allowed 17 hits and 10 earned runs over hist last three starts.
Flexen has been lit up by opponents recently and he is the perfect fade for a Red Sox lineup that is getting hot.
Hunter Renfroe Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
I'm going back to Hunter Renfroe for the second straight night, just like Story.
Renfroe had three hits in the Milwaukee Brewers' win over the Washington Nationals on Friday night.
Renfroe owns a .313 career batting average against Patrick Corbin. He has two home runs and six RBI in 16 at-bats against the Nationals southpaw.
Renfroe has two or more total bases in his last four games and I'm more than willing to ride the hot hand until it cools off.