The Golden State Warriors can lock in their spot in the Western Conference Finals on Friday night.
The Warriors should not be impacted by their blowout loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 5.
Golden State is more than ready to close out the series in Game 6 and it should benefit from another impressive home performance from Stephen Curry.
Curry has been fantastic at home this postseason and he could singlehandedly send the Grizzlies packing.
Memphis should put up some fight, especially if Desmond Bane shoots as well as he did from three-point range in Game 5.
Bane's three-point prop value is as low as it will be for the rest of the postseason and I saw enough in Game 5 to prove that he is healthy.
My other two prop picks target big men in each series. Bobby Portis and Steven Adams played well on the boards and that should keep up regardless of results.
NBA Playoff Prop Picks
Overall Record: 30-40
Bobby Portis Over 20.5 Points & Rebounds (-105)
Bobby Portis turned in his best performance of the Bucks-Celtics series in Game 5 with 14 points and 15 rebounds.
Portis played more in the fourth quarter in Game 5 than he did in Game 4, which leads me to believe he will back out in crunch time for Game 6 because of the matchups in play.
Portis had at least 20 points and rebounds in three of the five games against Boston. He has been the team's second-best rebounder behind Giannis Antetokounmpo.
The 14 minutes from Game 4 seem to be an exception to his playing time trend, so I'm willing to go back to Portis in this spot.
Steven Adams Over 10.5 Rebounds (-125)
Steven Adams has 28 rebounds in the last two games.
The Memphis center has made an impact on the series because of his height advantage over Kevon Looney, Jonathan Kuminga and Draymond Green.
Adams does not feature in a major scoring role, but he can be vital for second-chance opportunities and to create transition moves on the defensive glass.
Adams played 27 minutes in Game 4 and 21 minutes in Game 5, so his conditioning is fine after being listed out for a few games and not playing much against Minnesota.
As long as Game 6 is close, I expect Adams to easily produce a double-digit rebounding total.
Desmond Bane Over 3.5 Threes (+100)
Desmond Bane's three-point production was one of the most important takeaways from Game 5.
Bane went 4-for-6 from three-point range after making eight three-pointers in the first four games.
Bane needs to extend his shooting form into Game 6 for the Grizzlies to have a fighting chance against the Warriors.
He is the team's best outside shooting threat, and if he makes a few early, he can take some pressure off Dillon Brooks and Tyus Jones to create from the perimeter and allow them to work more on the inside.
Stephen Curry Over 27.5 Points (-125)
This is a no-brainer of a bet for me.
Stephen Curry and the Warriors are well rested after not playing much of the second half in Game 5.
Curry can get going from three-point range right away in order for the Warriors to put away the Grizzlies in relatively easy fashion.
Curry hit the 30-point mark in each of the two games at Chase Center in the series and he has four straight 30-point performances at home in the postseason.