Wednesday is one of the most important days in the English Premier League season.
Everton and Leeds United both need results to drag themselves further away from Burnley in the relegation race.
Everton pulled closer to safety with consecutive wins over Chelsea and Leicester City and it is in a good position to earn three more points on the road at Watford.
Leeds faces a much more difficult task at home against Chelsea. Jesse Marsch's side is a significant underdog and it needs to push from the beginning of the match.
Leeds' clash with Chelsea could be more wide open than any other game on Wednesday's schedule. The potential wide-open nature of the contest has me willing to take a risk on a plus-money Leeds prop.
La Liga has four games on the Wednesday slate and there are two significant mismatches in play that can be take advantage of.
Overall Record: 133-144 (2-1 Tuesday)
Watford vs. Everton (-160) (2:45 p.m. ET)
Everton needs this game more than Watford does.
Watford is already relegated and it does not have much to play for for the rest of the season.
Everton produced two straight wins to sit in 16th place ahead of Wednesday's game.
The Toffees won those matches despite giving up an expected goals total over 1.2. Their defense should have an easier 90 minutes versus a Watford attack that has three goals in its last six games.
Watford is just waiting for the season to end to attempt a bounce back into the Premier League. Everton is trying to avoid that. The motivation is simple.
Leeds United vs. Chelsea (2:45 p.m. ET)
Leeds United Over 1.5 Goals (+205)
Leeds United must go for three points from the start against Chelsea.
Leeds is tied on points with Burnley, but it has a significantly worse goal differential that has it in 18th place right now.
Jesse Marsch's team can't overturn an 18-goal difference in three weeks, so it needs to make sure it has more points than Burnley.
Chelsea's defense has been okay of late. It conceded four times to Arsenal and it let up two tallies over the weekend against Wolves.
Leeds scored multiple goals once in the last five games, but its expected goals total has been over one in five of the last seven games.
Osasuna (+175) vs. Getafe (1 p.m. ET)
Time to get into the major differences in home and road splits in La Liga.
Getafe is 1-7-9 on the road in La Liga play this season. It has 10 goals scored and a -12 goal differential in those matches.
Getafe scored zero or one goals in eight of its last 10 road games and it had an expected goals total under one in four of the last five games away from home.
Osasuna's expected goals total has been over one in each of the last five games. It took points from four of those contests. It lost to Real Madrid in that stretch with a xG of 1.3.
Sevilla (-170) vs. Mallorca (2:30 p.m. ET)
Sevilla is 11-5-1 at home with a +18 goal differential.
Mallorca is 2-2-13 with a -24 goal differential on its travels in La Liga.
It does not get more straightforward than that.
Sevilla should be posted above -200 due to the disparity in home and road form between the two clubs.