NBA Playoffs Props: Al Horford, Bobby Portis, Jaren Jackson Jr.

The focus going into Monday's two Games 4s is on the star players, as it should be.

The Boston Celtics need Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to produce more in the scoring column and the Milwaukee Bucks must get the same output from Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday as they did in Game 3.

As much as it would be nice to bet on those players, the prices are a bit too high for my liking, so it is time to focus on the role players.

Al Horford and Bobby Portis could be the No. 3 scorers on both rosters in Game 4. They could even be second best if one of the four players mentioned above goes through a rough night.

Game 4 between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors has more complexities to it because Ja Morant is currently listed as doubtful.

Morant likely will not play, and if he does, he will be impacted in some form by the knee injury suffered in Game 3.

Memphis' usage rates could be all over the place in Game 4, but there is one player I can count on with or without Morant.

NBA Playoff Props

Overall Record: 25-34

Al Horford Over 11.5 Points (-125)

Boston needs a third scorer to emerge behind Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown to level the series.

Al Horford erupted for 22 points in Game 3 while the top two scorers struggled.

Horford has four straight double-digit performances in the postseason. He had 12 or more points in three of those four contests.

Horford's minutes went up from Game 1 to Game 3. He was on the floor for 39 minutes and nine seconds in Game 3.

The minutes are there for the Celtics big man and he has the shot volume over three games to feel comfortable in this number.

Bobby Portis Over 11.5 Points (-115)

The thinking with Bobby Portis is similar to Horford.

Portis can be the No. 3 scorer behind Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday in Game 4, like he has been in previous games.

Portis opened the series with 15 and 13 points. He had nine points in Game 3, but he still attempted nine field goals.

Portis is more likely to attempt three-point shots than Brook Lopez, who has been locked in the paint for most of the series.

Milwaukee needs more out of Portis to support what the two healthy stars can do, and I'm more than willing to take Portis here than to bet on Holiday at an inflated price.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 15.5 Points (-125)

I don't know what to think about Memphis' rotation if Ja Morant does not play.

Tyus Jones' props are not listed because Morant has been ruled doubtful, but not out, Desmond Bane is clearly affected by his back injury and Dillon Brooks may have more attention paid to him if Morant is out .

Jaren Jackson Jr. sits at a reasonable point prop price with or without Morant.

Jackson has 15-plus points in three of his last four playoff games. He could be in for a larger performance if Morant is ruled out, or banged up, in order to take advantage of the size mismatch against Golden State.

Jackson is the second or third option if Morant is out, but he is a perfect player to attack at his price and operating under the assumption that the Grizzlies star is out.


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