There's just something about player props involving NBA centers.
The losses I suffered on Ivica Zubac props last night will not deter me from going after a big man in Wednesday's play-in clashes.
Atlanta Hawks center Clint Capela has a significant mismatch in his favor against Mason Plumlee of the Charlotte Hornets.
Capela was a double-double machine against Charlotte in the regular season and he has fit in nicely over the last two weeks inside Atlanta's adjusted rotation.
I can't just take a big man's props in a matchup that could have a ton of three-point makes. A good amount of the three-point props on the board are high, but there are still some to take advantage of.
Wednesday's late clash between the New Orleans Pelicans and San Antonio Spurs could feature a starring performance out of a big man.
However, Jonas Valanciunas' props are perfectly priced and I can't take the bait on them, so I went with one of New Orleans' other top contributors.
NBA Play-In Prop Picks
Tuesday Record: 1-2
Clint Capela Over 12.5 Points (-125)
Clint Capela produced a 17-point, 15-rebound double-double in Atlanta's last meeting with Charlotte on March 16.
That was one of two double-doubles the Atlanta big man earned against the No. 10 team in the Eastern Conference.
Capela comes into Wednesday on a bit of a hot streak. He had 19, 17 and 18 points in his last three games. He had 31 rebounds in that span.
Charlotte's biggest weakness is its center play with Mason Plumlee and Montrezl Harrell. Atlanta should look to exploit that through Capela early and often.
Miles Bridges Over 2.5 Threes (+115)
There are so many ways to attack three-point props for the Atlanta-Charlotte game.
Miles Bridges scored over 30 points in two games against the Hawks this season. He made four three-pointers during one of those performances on December 5.
Bridges knocked down three or more three-point shots in five of the last nine regular-season games He should have the green light to shoot from deep against an Atlanta unit that struggles against shooting guards.
Bridges is not a typical shooting guard, but he attempts enough three-point shots that he could take advantage of the matchup with Atlanta, especially if the game is played at a high pace.
Risk Free Same Game Parlay (+2000)
Bogdan Bogdanovic 5+ 3s
LaMelo Ball 4+ 3s
Miles Bridges 3+ 3s
DeAndre Hunter 2+ 3s
Kelly Oubre Jr. 1+ 3s
The 5-4-3-2-1 three-point SGP is perfect for the Atlanta-Charlotte game.
Both teams are expected to put up a ton of points and they excel at three-point shooting.
Bogdan Bogdanovic is my preferred piece at the top of the SGP because Trae Young will be asked to distribute and score more in the paint.
Bogdanovic knocked down 14 three-point shots in his last four games and he should be the primary shot maker off the bench for the Hawks.
LaMelo Ball had better three-point numbers than Terry Rozier against Atlanta in the regular season. Ball knocked down five threes in the March 16 clash between the two sides.
I'm already playing Bridges to hit three three-point shots, so I'm adding him in as the middle piece.
De'Andre Hunter just hit four three-point shots in Atlanta's regular-season finale. He may be the better option compared to Kevin Huerter, especially if he camps out on the wing for shots. Huerter could be inclined to do more driving inside against the Hornets centers.
Kelly Oubre Jr. is one of the better shot makers off the Charlotte bench, but I left him as the single three-point maker just in case Charlotte's rotation gets thin.
Brandon Ingram Over 5.5 Assists (-130)
I think New Orleans' assist distribution will be similar on Wednesday to what we saw out of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving on Tuesday night.
Either Brandon Ingram or C.J. McCollum will have the ball in their hands for a good portion of the contest.
Ingram had six or more assists in seven of his last nine games. I'm going with him over McCollum because the former Blazers guard had six or more helpers in six of his last 14 contests.
McCollum could still chip in some assists, but I think Ingram will have the larger volume against the Spurs, while McCollum tries to knock down more threes.
I also think Ingram's driving into the paint will help him with the assist total, especially if he picks out Valanciunas under the basket.