CBB Picks: Trust Auburn, Miami, Notre Dame on the road as favored teams

It's a favorites kind of a day in college basketball.

A lot of the favorites on Wednesday's board are in favorable matchups and they carry plenty of motivation to either finish the regular season on a high note, or advance in their conference tournaments.

The heavy favorites in the conference tournaments are in play on Wednesday because of the disparity in seeding in the Big South and Northeast Conference.

There is one underdog on the card and it is a team that I am more than familiar with.

Wednesday CBB Picks

Overall Record: 242-259-3 (4-3 Tuesday)

Charleston Southern at UNC Asheville (-10.5) (2 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Big South Tournament 1st Round

UNC Asheville is the highest seed playing in the Big South tournament first round.

UNCA should face an easy path to victory against Charleston Southern, the No. 12 seed.

The Bulldogs give up nine fewer points per game and they beat the Buccaneers by 23 and 19 points in the regular season.

Charleston Southern is 2-4 against the spread in its last six games and has not played well against UNCA this season, so that leads me to believe a third double-digit victory is in play.

Xavier at St. John's (-2) (6:30 p.m. ET, FS1)

We are firmly in a fade Xavier state of mind.

The Musketeers are on a four-game losing streak and they did not cover in any of those games.

Xavier has a single win since February 2 and its struggles could continue against St. John's, who needs a home win on Wednesday to clear the Musketeers in the Big East standings and earn the No. 7 seed in the Big East tournament.

The Johnnies are only 2-4 straight up in their last six games, but all of the losses came by six points or fewer. They are playing better basketball than Xavier and should win on home soil.

Oklahoma State at Iowa State (-4) (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Iowa State is peaking at the right time.

The Cyclones are on a four-game winning streak and could be a dangerous team in the Big 12 tournament next week with Izaiah Brockington leading the charge.

Oklahoma State put together a decent season considering the postseason ban around the program, but it is starting to fade with losses in three of the last four games.

Iowa State's three-point defense gives it the edge. The Cyclones rank 16th in three-point defense, while Oklahoma State sits 325th in three-point offense.

The Cyclones could handle the game on the defensive side and break open a decent-sized advantage for their home finale at Hilton Coliseum.

Notre Dame (-2) at Florida State (7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

I still think Notre Dame is getting undervalued on the spread.

The Fighting Irish are trying to lock down the No. 2 seed in the ACC tournament and it faces a Florida State team that has struggled for consistency all season.

The Seminoles needed a last-second heave to beat Virginia on Saturday and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

St. Francis (PA) at Wagner (-11.5) (7 p.m. ET)

NEC Tournament Quarterfinals

Wagner needs to make some sort of a statement on Wednesday night.

The Seahawks lost three of their last five games to drop down to the No. 2 seed in the NEC tournament behind Bryant.

Wagner is more than capable of making a run to March Madness, but to do so, it needs to beat Bryant on its home floor in the title game.

I think we see a motivated Wagner team blow out St. Francis (PA), who it beat by 15 points at home in January.

Western Kentucky (-2.5) at Marshall (7 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

Western Kentucky had its seven-game winning streak ended on Saturday.

The Hilltoppers won a majority of those contests by double figures, and they could get back to those ways against Marshall.

Three of Marshall's four Conference USA victories came against programs in the bottom half of the standings.

Western Kentucky should handle Marshall and get back to its winning ways with the C-USA tournament on the horizon.

Middle Tennessee (-2.5) at Charlotte (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

You think I'm going to stop betting Middle Tennessee?

Heck no.

The Blue Raiders are 21-5-1 ATS and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.

MTSU beat Charlotte by 15 points in their first regular-season meeting and we could see a similar result if the Blue Raiders enforce their defensive will on the game. MTSU averages five fewer points per game than the 49ers.

Miami (-4) at Boston College (9 p.m. ET, ACC Network)

I'm riding Miami until the end of the regular season.

The Hurricanes might be the team I've bet on the most and they should take care of business on the road against Boston College.

Miami is still fighting for the double bye in the ACC tournament and it has the much better offense than Boston College. The Hurricanes average nine more points per game and shoot six percent better from the field.

Auburn (-3.5) at Mississippi State (9 p.m. ET, SEC Network)

I'm approaching Auburn with caution because of its recent road struggles.

The Tigers lost their last three road clashes against Arkansas, Florida and Tennessee.

With that being said, I believe Auburn has a significant edge over Mississippi State, whose only wins in the last eight games are against Missouri and Vanderbilt.

Auburn can use this game as a chance to prove some doubters wrong and get back on track with the SEC and NCAA tournaments on the horizon.

Wyoming (+102) at UNLV (10:30 p.m. ET, FS1)

I'm back at it with Wyoming.

The Cowboys are in a bounce back spot after losing to San Diego State on Monday.

UNLV suffered four of its seven Mountain West losses to the top teams in the conference and it just lost by 10 points at home to Boise State on Saturday.


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