CBB Picks: Take Wisconsin at home in Big Ten showdown with Purdue

First place in the Big Ten is on the line in Madison, Wisconsin on Tuesday night.

Wisconsin welcomes Purdue to the Kohl Center in a blockbuster clash that will help determine the Big Ten regular-season champion.

The Badgers sit one game ahead of Purdue and Illinois in the loss column, and they could be well equipped to deal with some of Purdue's deficiencies on the road and on defense.

While most of our attention will be centered on Madison, there are a handful of conference tournaments getting underway on Tuesday night and I have a few plays for those matchups listed below as well.

Tuesday CBB Picks

Overall Record: 238-256-3 (3-3 Monday)

Nebraska at Ohio State (-15) (7 p.m. ET, BTN)

Just how bad is Nebraska?

Well....the Cornhuskers are 2-16 in Big Ten play and they suffered six double-digit road defeats in league action.

Sunday's road win over Penn State has to be treated as an exception to Nebraska's overall play and it will likely not carry over into Columbus.

Ohio State beat the last two struggling teams to come into Columbus, Minnesota and Maryland, by 15 points or more.

The Buckeyes should wreck Nebraska and they have motivation to get the job done early since this is the start of a three-game week.

Missouri at South Carolina (-7) (7 p.m. ET, ESPNU)

Missouri has not put up over 62 points in its last four road games.

The Tigers scored below 60 points in three of those contests.

South Carolina has done a good job lately of beating the teams it is supposed to beat, like Mississippi State, Ole Miss and Georgia.

The Gamecocks are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games and their offense averages seven more points per game than Mizzou.

Green Bay at Detroit Mercy (-10.5) (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Horizon League First Round

Detroit Mercy is one of four teams that will host Horizon League first-round games on Tuesday.

The Titans are the No. 6 seed and they play host to the No. 11 seed Green Bay, whose only win in the last 10 games came against IUPUI, who is the worst team in the Horizon League.

Green Bay ranks 300th or worse in a handful of metrics across the board and it is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games, many of which have been blowouts.

Detroit should cruise into the quarterfinal round, where the Horizon League reseeds so that the highest remaining seed faces the lowest remaining seed in the next round.

North Alabama at Florida Gulf Coast (Over 143.5) (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Atlantic Sun First Round

Florida Gulf Coast is an overwhelming favorite to eliminate North Alabama from the Atlantic Sun tournament.

The Eagles beat North Alabama by 32 points on February 9, but since then, North Alabama played in a handful of close games.

North Alabama and FGCU are both 5-1 to the over in their last six games. FCGU ranks 41st in adjusted tempo and that could play to its advantage once more against the Lions.

FGCU also gives up 73 points per game, so that could be the avenue that allows North Alabama to score in the high 60s-low 70s and keep the game close.

Stetson at Central Arkansas (-108) (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Atlantic Sun First Round

Stetson is favored by 1.5 points despite being on a five-game losing streak and falling in six of its last seven games.

A road loss to Central Arkansas started that poor run of form and there are few reasons why I can convince myself to bet on the Hatters.

Central Arkansas played better basketball of late and it already has a home win over Stetson. That should help make the difference in this A-Sun first-round clash.

Kent State (-8.5) at Northern Illinois (8 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Kent State is one of the hottest mid-major teams in the country.

The Golden Flashes have not lost since January 21 and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Kent State may have a little extra motivation on its minds on Tuesday since it lost to Northern Illinois, who is one of the worst MAC teams, in their first meeting.

Kent State's offense averages seven more points per game and its defense allows eight fewer points per contest compared to NIU.

Purdue at Wisconsin (+130) (9 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Wisconsin and Purdue are playing for first place in the Big Ten regular-season standings.

Wisconsin's offense does not have the stunning numbers that the Boilermakers have produced, but the Badgers have been more consistent.

Purdue lost two of its last three road games to Michigan and Michigan State and it struggled to put away Northwestern in the other road trip of that span.

The key here will be Wisconsin's defense, which ranks 66 spots better in adjusted defensive efficiency than Purdue.

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