Two of the biggest clubs in European soccer take to the field on Tuesday to kick off their respective UEFA Champions League knockout-round campaigns.
Chelsea got the easier draw than Juventus, as it opens up the round-of-16 at Stamford Bridge to take on Lille out of Ligue 1.
Juventus face a trickier test at the Estadio de la Ceramica against Villarreal, whose defense has been stellar over the last month in La Liga.
Chelsea is heavily favored at home, so I found a different angle to bet on that game instead of just taking the Blues outright above -300.
Juventus' task in Spain is more difficult to handicap, but there is one spot to take advantage of in that contest as well.
Tuesday UCL Picks
Chelsea vs. Lille (Under 2.5) (3 p.m. ET, CBS)
The UCL knockout round started with three of four games going under 2.5 goals last week.
Chelsea and Lille should add to that trend of teams being more conservative in the first of two legs.
Chelsea has not given up multiple goals on English soil since its January 2 match with Liverpool.
The Blues conceded twice at Stamford Bridge on just two occasions all season long. They gave up four goals in the group stage of the UCL, three of which came on the final matchday in a wild 3-3 draw with Zenit St. Petersburg.
Since December 1, Lille's defense allowed multiple tallies in three instances. One of them was a five-goal concession to Paris Saint-Germain.
Chelsea should dictate the pace of the contest and it should bury one or two goals to take a lead into France on March 16, but do not expect a high-scoring affair in London.
Villarreal vs. Juventus (3 p.m. ET, Paramount Plus)
Dusan Vlahovic (+200 Anytime Scorer)
All of the goal scorer props on DraftKings Sportsbook sit at +200 or higher for the Villarreal-Juventus match.
Dusan Vlahovic is the most in-form striker on either roster. Juventus bought him from Fiorentina in the January transfer window after he scored an abundance of goals in Serie A.
Vlahovic is in line to receive his first Champions League start for Juve on Tuesday, and he is due to open his account for the Old Lady of Italian football.
Vlahovic has put 10 of his 18 shots on target in his four games with the Bianconeri.
Villarreal's defense has been tough recently, as it conceded twice in the last five games, but it was easier to crack in the UCL group stage.
The Yellow Submarine allowed nine goals in a group that contained Manchester United, Atalanta and Young Boys.