Welcome to the NBA Three-Point Play.
Our new piece of NBA betting content for the The Gambler was the brainchild of my mind during the week off between Christmas and New Year's Day. I needed something to break down after college football season comes to a close.
I've had some success betting the NBA on my own, so I figured I'd start to send out picks in an attempt to win money for everyone that reads.
The concept is simple. I'm going to pick my three favorite NBA player props on the slate. I might even add an AND-1 parlay depending on how the slate looks on that specific day.
With the formalities out of the way, let's dig into the first set of picks.
NBA Three-Point Play
Joel Embiid Over 25.5 Points (-115)
Let's start off with what I think is the easiest play on the board.
Joel Embiid hit the 30-point mark in five of his last six games. Embiid faces a depleted Houston Rockets frontcourt with Christian Wood suspended for Monday's game at the Wells Fargo Center.
Houston does not have a substantial paint presence outside of Wood, and that should give the Sixers the motivation to feed Embiid in the first half.
The Sixers are fresh since they haven't played since Thursday, and if the game plan goes as planned, Embiid and the other starters can rest during the fourth quarter.
Patty Mills Over 3.5 Threes (+135)
Patty Mills is back to the No. 3 scorer role in the Brooklyn Nets offense with Kevin Durant and James Harden back in the fold.
Brooklyn is no longer dealing with COVID-19-related issues, but the Memphis Grizzlies are. Dillon Brooks has been out for the last week and Kyle Anderson just entered health and safety protocols.
Memphis needs to shift around its best available defenders to deal with Harden and Durant, which should leave more shots open for Mills.
The Grizzlies also give up the second-worst three-point percentage to opponents. Mills hit 20 three-pointers in the last four games, so this feels like a great matchup to exploit.
Gary Harris Over 14.5 Points (+100)
Gary Harris' point prop over is one of the biggest steals on the prop market.
The Orlando Magic guard scored at least 15 points in seven of his last eight games.
Harris should have ample opportunities to reach that point against the Chicago Bulls on Monday with Cole Anthony once again out of the lineup.
I get that Orlando is on the second leg of a back-to-back, but the price is too good to pass up here on Harris.