CBB Tuesday Picks: Trust NC State and the Arkansas Over

College basketball is sitting on the backburner of the sports world right now with the NFL, NBA and bowl games going on, but there is still money to be made on a loaded Tuesday slate.

A ton of high-major programs are in action across the busy Tuesday slate, starting with Pittsburgh in the mid-afternoon window.

Pittsburgh has been a team to fade for most of the season, but it has a home matchup that should play in its favor.

Pitt's ACC conference mate, NC State, also has an easy matchup on paper inside its home arena against a struggling mid-major foe.

Arkansas has a strong matchup on paper as well, but it comes into Tuesday in a much different spot than the ACC schools since it lost to Hofstra over the weekend.

The Razorbacks have one chance to get right before the holidays and we could see them put up a high volume of points against Elon.

Below is a look at all of my picks for the Tuesday college hoops slate.

CBB Tuesday Picks

Overall Record: 62-73-1

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (-6) (2 p.m. ET, ACC Network)

I'm doing it again.

I can't quit Pitt.

The Panthers are a short favorite against Jacksonville out of the Atlantic Sun. Pitt suffered losses to The Citadel, Monmouth and UMBC at the Petersen Events Center, so it is not a lock to win.

However, Jacksonville's three performances away from home against high-major teams suggest it will not compete with Pitt. The Dolphins failed to reach the 60-point mark against Minnesota, Georgia and UCF.

Pittsburgh should play good enough defense to shut down the visitors and come away with a win going into ACC play.

Northwestern State at Texas A&M (-25.5) (6 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Northwestern State has not fared well in its matchups against some of the best teams in the country.

The Demons lost by 40+ points to LSU and Houston in two of their last three Division 1 games.

Texas A&M possesses similar strong defensive qualities as LSU and Houston. The Aggies rank in the Top 60 in defensive two-point percentage, effective field goal percentage and adjusted efficiency on KenPom.

Northwestern State ranks 351st in two-point defense and 340th in defensive adjusted efficiency. The Demons could be in for another long two hours against a power-conference foe.

Howard (+7.5) at Harvard (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

I keep coming back to Howard because of its tremendous three-point shooting.

The Bison are consistently in the 70-80-point range and that should not change for Tuesday's trip up to Harvard.

Harvard ranks 279th in three-point defense on KenPom. That is a major red flag for the Crimson against a team that is so skilled from beyond the arc.

Elon at Arkansas (Over 151.5) (7 p.m. ET, SEC Network)

Arkansas needs to take out a lot of frustration after losing to Hofstra over the weekend.

The Razorbacks have hit the over in their last five games and I feel like that is the safer bet because they have not been great against the spread this season.

Elon gave up 87 points to Duke on Saturday and conceded 80 to North Carolina on December 12. That should provide a blueprint for the Hogs to produce a high total in a get-right game.

Wright State at NC State (-10.5) (7 p.m. ET, ACC Network)

I've been on a personal mission over the last two weeks to fade Wright State.

The Raiders rank 333rd in offensive three-point percentage and 329th in two-point defense on KenPom. That is a recipe for blowouts to happen.

NC State could use a nice and easy win after losing to Purdue and Richmond. The Wolfpack scored at least 75 points in four of their six home wins, while Wright State has five losses of nine points or more.

Marshall at Toledo (Under 158.5) (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

Marshall ranks second in adjusted tempo on KenPom, but it is 319th in three-point offense and 26th in two-point offense.

The Herd are 4-0 to the under in their last four games and they failed to reach 75 points in three of those contests.

Toledo is 3-1-1 to the under in its last five and its offensive metrics are average at best. I feel like the total is a bit too high for two teams not exactly trending in the right offensive direction.


Sponsored Content

Sponsored Content