The Philadelphia Union have not been winning at the same pace they were in 2020, but their defense is still one of the best in Major League Soccer.
In five regular-season games, the Union have conceded on five occasions and held the Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew scoreless.
Philadelphia's attack has not blown out opposing defenses either, which has led it to be an under machine. Under 2.5 goals hit in four of the first five matches.
With that being one of the clear trends developing in MLS, it makes perfect sense that one of our three MLS experts is going in that direction for Week 5.
As there has been in previous weeks, the value is still there with home teams. Only Sporting Kansas City sits above -200 on the money line.
Our other two experts have pointed out home teams in good spots to cash in as we look for our first perfect weekend of the campaign.
Week 5 Best Bets
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kevin Kinkead (2-1): Philadelphia-New York Red Bulls Under 2.5
As we noted above, the Union have trended toward the under in their MLS matches.
Both the Union and Red Bulls have allowed five goals in five games. The Red Bulls earned back-to-back clean sheets against Chicago and Toronto FC.
Sean Brace (1-1): LA Galaxy (+110)
Betting against an expansion side always seems like a good pick, especially when it hits the road.
Austin FC faces a difficult task this weekend against an LA Galaxy attack that has Chicharito firing on all cylinders.
The Mexican forward leads MLS with six goals. Seattle's Raul Ruidiaz and NYCFC's Valentin Castellanos are the only other players with four or more tallies.
Joe Tansey (1-1): Atlanta United (-136)
Atlanta United should easily get past CF Montreal on Saturday.
CF Montreal is on top of the Eastern Conference table, but it is there because of some favorable matchups. The Quebec side got Toronto FC in the middle of its Concacaf Champions League campaign and drew with the Columbus Crew in that same situation. Montreal also owns a win over Inter Miami, who is still working through some issues under Phil Neville.
Josef Martinez scored his first goal since tearing his ACL last week and Atlanta is getting better by the week under Gabriel Heinze.